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`pulumi refresh` shows "delete" under the "Plan" column for this resource. I'm not sure what that means.

I tailed kube-controller-manager logs to verify that something did indeed delete it.

&gt;  presumably by pulumi, and now pulumi doesn't think it needs to recreate it.
That would be a little surprising.  Can you tell from history of deployments whether there was any deletion scheduled by Pulumi?

&gt;  `pulumi refresh` shows "delete" under the "Plan" column for this resource. I'm not sure what that means.
That sounds ~expected - the refresh will remove this resource from your state file. ( I thought we used a word like "removed" instead of "deleted" here though).  Once it's removed so that the Pulumi view is reconciled with your cluster, a `pulumi up` should try to recreate it for you.

Unfortunately I've been spamming `pulumi up` repeatedly trying to get a different resource to work, and I wasn't paying attention to this one until I noticed it was missing.

`pulumi refresh` and `pulumi up` doesn't recreate this deployment, though. The `up` neither tries to delete nor create the Deployment.

`pulumi stack` lists the resource, meaning, I guess, that it's still in the state?

I changed a parent resource of the deployment and that triggered `pulumi up` to "replace" it. (There was nothing there for it to replace...)