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there's no urn output from that resource, no. where are you passing the urn?

Hmmm.  I am not explicitly passing the urn anywhere.

Note that I am newish to pulumi and may be missing something.

i think it's the `depends_on` - trye remove the es_vm_scaleset from there

That is it! That makes a lot of sense.   get_* is not a resource with an urn that pulumi tracks.